Northeast Intelligence Network


Alerts & Advisories Archive

ALERT:  Increased terror risk for the next 3-4 days

Analysts at the Northeast Intelligence Network have concluded that the terror threat level is once again rising.  This is based on intelligence reports and analysis from a number of sources.

Over the past few days, the chatter level in the Arabic jihad forums has been increasing.  The tone of the chatter has become more and more ominous. There are references to "The Martyrs Wedding", "100 Staircases prepared for 100 militants to ascend within the next 3 days", and specific references to attacks on America.  The following translation of one of these postings illustrates the reason for increased concern:

 

A message to the young men, the students ... ( and Allah I envy them )

The God's Messenger said, peace be upon him : ( in paradise there are one hundred staircases that Allah has prepared for the one hundred militants crossing during the three days, these who work for God sake what between the two degrees between sky and earth )

( and how much from religious experts who know the truth of  Allah's religion and then deviate from it, and declare another, and uses its knowledge in the for wrongful purposes, and the required fatwas of the transient land sultan, you try and you proves by attacking the sultan with Allah's blessing and his sanctities over all the earth, have seen from these who knows and says : [ the law is a right from Allah's rights; glory be to those who claimed it;  he has claimed the divine; and he who claimed the divine without the right, he has disbelieved; and he who is recognized for it this right and followed up it on it that have disbelieved also ] and despite that, with its knowledge of this truth, that knows it from the religion necessarily,, it calls for the tyrants who claim the legislation right, and they claim the divine with the claim of this right, who he judged on them by the disbelief, and names them the Muslims and names;  what they practice as Islam is not the Islam )

Sayed Qutb 

 

In addition to this, Al Arabeya Television aired an audio tape today by Dr. Ayman Al Zawahiri, first lieutenant to Osama Bin Laden, and the man who many believe is the brains behind Al Qaeda and who may in fact be running the organization today.  In the tape, Zawahiri informed the world of additional death squads which have been sent to the American homeland.  The absence of a videotape or other credible evident that Osama bin Laden remains in charge of the organization lends considerable credence to this belief.  

In the past, statements by Zawahiri have been followed in rapid succession by violent attacks on civilian targets around the world, as illustrated in the chart shown here.  (The notable exception is the Christmas holiday, when it is widely believe US authorities stopped several major attacks on the US homeland.)  The matrix here illustrates this quite well.

 

Another factor increasing the level of concern is the release this past weekend of issue #11 of the Al Qaeda internet magazine, Sout al Jihad (Voice of Jihad), which is published every two weeks.  This issue of Voice of Jihad has three primary themes:  the success of the internet propaganda war, encouragement for the militants in their battle against the "crusaders", and reiteration of the Al Qaeda position on the Saudi Royal Family.  SITE Institute has a more comprehensive analysis here

 

In more breaking news this morning along these topics, please see the following articles:

 

  • HONOLULU -FBI, Coast Guard, JTTF search Honolulu harbor yesterday- Military divers searched Honolulu Harbor Tuesday after a Coast Guard sentry reported a scuba diver in the water Monday night. Recreational divers aren't allowed in the harbor. The sighting raised more red flags because the diver was reported near the Coast Guard's 47-foot patrol boat moored at the Sand Island base.  The Coast Guard organized the search, which eventually included Army and Navy divers, state law enforcement and joint terrorism task force agencies, including the FBI.   more.....

  • PAKISTAN -  Capture of Al-Zawahri's son unconfirmed.  The Urdu-language Jang daily, quoting diplomatic sources, said al-Zawahri's son Khalid, was handed over to US custody soon after his arrest and flown out of Pakistan . more.....

  • MANILA.  Fire triggers blasts at Philippine national police headquarters.  A fire at the Philippine national police headquarters triggered a series of blasts in a building housing explosives and ammunition on Wednesday, said police.  Police officials said there was no immediate reports on casualties and the cause of the fire that set off the explosions was yet to be known.

  • WASHINGTON.  Al Qaeda As Committed As Ever. Weapons of mass destruction, terrorists and the unstable countries that harbor them top the list of security threats Americans face, the nation's leading security officials warned lawmakers Tuesday. ''The al-Qaida leadership is seriously damaged, but the group remains as committed as ever to attacking the American homeland,'' CIA Director George Tenet told the Senate Intelligence Committee during his annual worldwide threat assessment. ''This enemy remains intent on obtaining and using catastrophic weapons.''  more.....

 

For IMPORTANT INFORMATION about ALERTS & ADVISORIES issued by the Northeast Intelligence Network, please see  the note at the bottom of this page.

 


The following are ALERTS or ADVISORIES based on information developed by investigator Doug Hagmann and the Northeast Intelligence Network. They ARE NOT ASSOCIATED IN ANY MANNER OR FORM with any official government or law enforcement agency, and are compiled from information independently developed through independent research and investigation. 

 

    An ALERT means that the information and data has been thoroughly researched and well-sourced. There is a strong indication of the event(s) taking place. 

 

    An ADVISORY indicates that information collected is highly suggestive of an upcoming event, although the source information is currently being developed.

 

    It is important to note that although a "time period" will usually be associated with any ALERT or ADVISORY, the factors that effect terrorist activities are such that it is difficult to isolate any specific time frame. When an anticipated time frame is listed, it is usually a "scientific guess" based on the content of the information received and should not be viewed as an "absolute."  Alerts & Advisories are listed in chronological order, beginning with the most recent.


 

03-A2

ADVISORY 20 August 2003 0445 EDT

CONFIDENCE LEVEL: Low

ANTICIPATED TIME PERIOD: Through 30 September 2003

Talk of Possible "Attack" Against UN Building in New York

20 August 2003: Postings were found on two radical Islamic Internet forums by supporters of various radical Islamic factions that indicates an "interest" in attacking the UN Building in New York City, in a copycat style of the blast that took place at the Canal Hotel in Iraq yesterday. It was also noted that several claims of responsibility for the Baghdad blast were also found, posted by alleged members of Al Aqsa, Hamas and al Qaeda. None of those claims are able to be substantiated at this level or at this time. 


03-A1

ADVISORY 14 August 2003 0445 EDT

CONFIDENCE LEVEL: HIGH

ANTICIPATED TIME PERIOD: Through 30 September 2003

 

Subject:    Potential Bombing Targets Uncovered
 
The latest intelligence data gathered by the Northeast Intelligence Network concerning the terror group known as Jemaah Islamiyah (JI), responsible for the recent bombing of the Marriott Hotel in Jakarta, suggests the following Indonesian locations or businesses of US or western origin as potential and even intended targets of physical destruction by the terrorist organization:
 
Pendok Indah Mall
All oil companies including but not limited to:
Exxon/Mobile
Unocal
Premier Oil
Caltex
 
Halliburton
 
All Other US Based Businesses with Indonesian Presence
 
Although the timing of the potential bombings is unclear and no "direct evidence" was identified to indicate an attack is imminent, an immediate increase in security on all levels by US and western businesses is urged based on past events and in consideration of the stated objectives of the terrorist group.
 
Related News Source Link: http://www.abc.net.au/pm/content/2003/s922014.htm 

 

03-C1

ALERT: 16 June 2003

CONFIDENCE LEVEL: HIGH

ANTICIPATED TIME PERIOD: From 16 June 2003 forward

 

    Based on intelligence developed through a number of sources, there appears to be a significant threat to critical computer databases, US systems and infrastructures that rely on Internet and Intranet usage, combined with a concurrent, unspecified ground attack within the continental United States. The origin of these attacks appear to be from unorganized al Qaeda and al Qaeda sympathizers, Hamas and Hamas supporters. Information concerning these attacks appear to originate, in part, from Internet communications out of (among other locations) Lahore, Pakistan. 

    This alert stems from the findings that our national computer infrastructure has been and is currently being "probed" to compromise the same, with the intent of causing catastrophic damage and interruptions to our financial systems (e.g US financial institutions and information database repositories), and operational infrastructure (e.g. power plants, electrical grids, water supplies). 

    Reference to a potential "physical" attack suggests that targets include oil and gas refineries within the continental US, and perhaps specially in the gulf coast region of the United States.  

 

UPDATE: 7 July 2003

 

    There was a great deal of confusion by readers regarding the announcement of a "hacking contest" that took place on 6 July 2003. It should be noted that this was NOT the event referenced by this alert. Those following the "defacer's challenge" hacking contest know that an announcement was made by government officials, and the web site associated with this specific "contest" was taken down by the ISP due to violations of the server's terms of service (TOS). What IS interesting, however, is that at least one of several Internet addresses associated with the defunct site was a valid e-mail address originating from the People's Republic of China (PRC). 

 

    This ALERT will remain in effect until further notice. There continues to be references to an "e-jihad" in the planning stages by radical Islamic factions and their allies and sympathizers. It is important to understand that our enemy is very patient (as evidenced by the extensive planning of the 9/11 attacks) and will strike by their schedule. It would be prudent for all businesses, especially financial institutions, data base companies, and operations controlling certain infrastructures of the United States to take this time to enhance their defenses against intrusion and attack. This is only common sense, even in a normal threat environment. 

 

    Lastly, it is important for everyone to understand that we are involved in an asymmetrical war, which is admittedly difficult for many to comprehend. The ultimate objectives of our enemies is to destroy the United States. Instead of (or likely in addition to) conventional weapons, our enemies will use unconventional means against us.  No longer just bombs and bullets, they will use our own assets as weapons. They will exploit our weaknesses wherever they are found, by any and all means available to them, including the Internet. 

 

    With specific regard to this alert, our enemies will use the Internet in an effort to create financial havoc, whether it is through stealing legitimate identities of others by hacking into the necessary data bases, or organizing and implementing mass attacks against certain servers in an attempt to disrupt the normal flow of business. As an example of the latter, consider the potential ramifications of an effective electronic attack against a single financial institution.  Consider what would happen if the customers of this financial institution were suddenly unable to make deposits, withdraw money, use an automated teller machine, use a debit card for purchases, and so on as a result of a successful attack against that institution. Although the situation could be temporary and the overall damage could be ultimately contained, this would undoubtedly be not only inconvenient, but costly to repair, and the loss of revenue due to this situation would probably never be recovered. Also, consider the ramifications to other businesses as a result of this sudden disruption. 

 

    The above is merely one "simple" example of a potential scenario that is part of this alert. Many more exist, with some having more ominous ramifications than described above. In short, we are not referring to Sunday hackers or lame attempts to deface websites. The situation is more complex and more potentially damaging, especially if steps are not immediately taken to shore up our critical defenses against electronic intrusion.


Please Note: It is unrealistic and irresponsible for anyone in the private sector to make any definitive statements regarding the date, time, location and type of the next attack against our country. Warnings of impending attacks that contain such specific information issued by anyone in the private sector should be viewed with prudent skepticism. Some might even warrant investigation themselves for reasons that should be obvious. The process of intelligence gathering is complex, time and resource consuming, and quite difficult.  

    The alerts and advisories contained on this site are presented with caution and are based on a compilation of sources. Although the type of potential "attack" might be identified based on the intelligence data gathered, the time, date and even the intended target(s) are much more difficult to establish. The information contained within this site is presented as a guide and "early warning system" based on information that has been obtained and thoroughly researched.