- Northeast Intelligence Network - http://homelandsecurityus.com -

The Iranian Ganglion: A Current Assessment

Posted By Sean Osborne On April 2, 2007 @ 6:11 pm In Intelligence Analysis,Iran,Sean Osborne | Comments Disabled

By Sean Osborne, [1] Associate Director, Military Affairs

2 April 2007: Never has the threat of a wider regional war been greater than it is this morning in the Middle East, and the Islamic Republic of Iran is the ganglion of this threat. In fact, such a war has long been the devout interest of the Islamofascist regime of Tehran since its consolidation of supreme power over 27 years ago.

Engaging the “Wayback” Machine

Any assessment of the current situation with respect to the Islamic Republic requires an unfiltered historical review. To that end the “wayback” machine has been engaged. The list of the Islamic Republic’s acts of war against the United States of America is as follows:

November 4, 1979: Seizure and Occupation of the US Embassy in Tehran.

November 4, 1979: Detention and Hostage Holding of Embassy Staff, US Military Personnel and other US citizens for 444 days.

April 18, 1983: Bombing of the US Embassy, Beirut, Lebanon, 17 dead including 8 CIA employees, several US military servicemen and an American journalist.

September 20, 1984: Bombing of the US Embassy, Beirut, Lebanon, killing 24 including two US soldiers.

October 23, 1983: Destruction of US Marine Barracks, Beirut. Murder of 241 US Marines, Sailors and Army personnel.

June 3, 1985: Capture, torture and murder of Beirut CIA Chief of Station, William Francis Buckley, a/k/a US Army (Ret.) LTC William Francis Buckley former Green Beret.

June 15, 1985: The beating, torture and cold-blooded murder of US Navy diver, Petty Officer 2nd Class Robert Stetham during the hijacking of TWA Flight 847.

What is also not widely known is that in addition to these acts of war there were Iranian intelligence defectors who reported seeing models of Manhattan and the WTC in the basement of the Iranian Ministry of Intelligence & Security prior to September 11, 2001. Members of the US intelligence community also know that Iran supplied the explosives and planned the destruction of Pan American Flight 103, killing all 259 onboard and 11 residents of Lockerbie, Scotland on December 21, 1988. Our intelligence community also knows certain details about the Iranian involvement in the attack on the Khobar Towers military barracks in Saudi Arabia, killing 19 US Air Force personnel, 1 Saudi national.

Fast Forward to the Present

On September 7, 2006 a joint US-Iraqi patrol along the Iranian border was engaged by a “platoon-sized” force of Iranian soldiers firing automatic weapons and RPG’s after the US-Iraqi force detected the presence of Iranian soldiers on Iraqi territory. A brief firefight ensued. This engagement was confirmed by a “Request to Query” issued by the U.S. 101st Airborne Division. Seeing that the Iranian force was maneuvering to surround them the American troops realized that the Iranians had set up an ambush with the probable intent to capture as many of the joint US-Iraqi patrol as possible.

American requests for the Iraqi contingent to disengage were not heeded and the American’s withdrew from the engagement. Upon returning in force to the site of the clash no sign of the Iraqi force was evident. The results of an investigation into this firefight and attempted capture of US forces have not yet been released to my knowledge. This firefight is also detailed in a TIME report: http://www.time.com/time/world/article/0,8599,1605487,00.html

On January 20, 2007 an elite force of Iranian Revolutionary Guards Corps known as the Qods (Jerusalem) Force launched an audacious raid in Karbala, Iraq. The raiders had US uniforms, equipment, and documentation and appeared to all who encountered them to be genuine US troops driving US-made SUVs. The capture of four US soldiers and the subsequent escape/evasion apparently ran into some unknown problems and the US troops were executed by gunfire. Their bodies and all equipment used in this unprecedented assault were discovered not far away soon thereafter.

This brings us to the illegal capture of 15 British sailors and marines in Iraqi territorial waters 10 days ago. A lot of talk and posturing and rhetoric have continued to this minute. Given the facts I have just detailed I must ask the question: why? Why is there any new discussion to yet another act of war executed by the Islamic Republic of Iran? Is there any doubt that Iran has been seeking a regional war of apocalyptic proportions since its creation? The honest answer is, at least to most observers who track historical developments, that is there is no doubt about this, it is a fact that Iranian mullahs seek an apocalyptic war and will do nearly anything to precipitate it.

So what are we waiting for?

The Present Assessment

Just yesterday a report from the Jerusalem Post and Associated Press was released. It cited Russian intelligence (i.e.: Russian government) sources as reported in the Russian (i.e.: government controlled media) - which are the same sources/same regime that has been outrageously assassinating anyone and everyone investigating its own covert activities - announcing a US attack to occur within a 12-hour period this coming Friday (Good Friday) on targets within Iran. Then the Russian Defense Ministry denounces these reports as “myths.”

What have we here, the Russian government playing good cop-bad cop with respect to the decades long provocation coming from Iran?

The JP/AP report followed immediately on the heels of media reports that Russia was suspending HEU fuel shipments to Iran due to non-payments on the nuclear proliferation contract between them. There are lies and then there are damned lies. This is the latter. It could also be cited as an operational deception or a gambit designed to mask the Russian role in what I have long assessed as being a coming Middle East power-play by the Iranian-Syrian-Russian axis.

The JP/AP report is not new news. It has been circulating for some time now. I believe this Russian-sourced report to be disinformation - even though in recent days the signs supporting the possibility of a US strike next month (May) have become stronger with the deployment of two more US Navy aviation and amphibious strike groups this week. This constitutes a US strike that Iran has earned with compound interest over the past 27 years.

What is new is that the JP/AP report associates it with the Iranian deception of an Israeli preemptive strike against it neighbors. This is looking more and more like a massive chess match which will ultimately determine whether the West or the Russo-Islamofascist alliance becomes the power broker in the Middle East. The US has been forced to seek an ally in the nations of Sunni Islam - nations whose own citizenry are at war with the US via the Islamic religion and clergy.

However, retuning to the Iranian deception, it is very thinly disguised. It is designed to mask a long-planned Iranian-Syrian-Hezbollah strike against Israel and make it appear that the Iranians are leading a legitimate pre-emptive strike on Israel. This plan has been abundantly clear for the past eight months and longer. The Israeli response to the provocations initiated by Iran via their Hezbollah proxy last summer initially caught these enemies by surprise, and yet ultimately set the course for what is coming - a much larger regional war against Israel and the Western allies.

Given the dates in the Russian and Iranian deceptions - I assess that their planned strike could occur within the next 30 days, perhaps even as early as this evening or tomorrow as Israel enters Pesach/Passover observations.

Share and Enjoy:
  • Print [2]
  • Digg [3]
  • StumbleUpon [4]
  • del.icio.us [5]
  • Facebook [6]
  • Yahoo! Buzz [7]
  • Twitter [8]
  • Google Bookmarks [9]

Article printed from Northeast Intelligence Network: http://homelandsecurityus.com

URL to article: http://homelandsecurityus.com/archives/1948

URLs in this post:

[1] By Sean Osborne,: mailto:sosborne@homelandsecurityus.com

[2] Image: http://www.printfriendly.com/print/new?url=http%3A%2F%2Fhomelandsecurityus.com%2Farchives%2F1948

[3] Image: http://digg.com/submit?phase=2&url=http%3A%2F%2Fhomelandsecurityus.com%2Farchives%2F1948&title=The%20Iranian%20Ganglion%3A%20A%20Current%20Assessment&bodytext=%0D%0A%0D%0ABy%20Sean%20Osborne%2C%20Associate%20%20Director%2C%20Military%20Affairs%0D%0A%0D%0A2%20April%202007%3A%20%20Never%20has%20the%20threat%20of%20a%20wider%20regional%20war%20been%20greater%20than%20it%20is%20this%20morning%20in%20the%20Middle%20East%2C%20and%20the%20Islamic%20Republic%20of%20Iran%20is%20the%20ganglion%20of%20this%20threat.%20In%20fac

[4] Image: http://www.stumbleupon.com/submit?url=http%3A%2F%2Fhomelandsecurityus.com%2Farchives%2F1948&title=The%20Iranian%20Ganglion%3A%20A%20Current%20Assessment

[5] Image: http://delicious.com/post?url=http%3A%2F%2Fhomelandsecurityus.com%2Farchives%2F1948&title=The%20Iranian%20Ganglion%3A%20A%20Current%20Assessment¬es=%0D%0A%0D%0ABy%20Sean%20Osborne%2C%20Associate%20%20Director%2C%20Military%20Affairs%0D%0A%0D%0A2%20April%202007%3A%20%20Never%20has%20the%20threat%20of%20a%20wider%20regional%20war%20been%20greater%20than%20it%20is%20this%20morning%20in%20the%20Middle%20East%2C%20and%20the%20Islamic%20Republic%20of%20Iran%20is%20the%20ganglion%20of%20this%20threat.%20In%20fac

[6] Image: http://www.facebook.com/share.php?u=http%3A%2F%2Fhomelandsecurityus.com%2Farchives%2F1948&t=The%20Iranian%20Ganglion%3A%20A%20Current%20Assessment

[7] Image: http://buzz.yahoo.com/submit/?submitUrl=http%3A%2F%2Fhomelandsecurityus.com%2Farchives%2F1948&submitHeadline=The%20Iranian%20Ganglion%3A%20A%20Current%20Assessment&submitSummary=%0D%0A%0D%0ABy%20Sean%20Osborne%2C%20Associate%20%20Director%2C%20Military%20Affairs%0D%0A%0D%0A2%20April%202007%3A%20%20Never%20has%20the%20threat%20of%20a%20wider%20regional%20war%20been%20greater%20than%20it%20is%20this%20morning%20in%20the%20Middle%20East%2C%20and%20the%20Islamic%20Republic%20of%20Iran%20is%20the%20ganglion%20of%20this%20threat.%20In%20fac&submitCategory=science&submitAssetType=text

[8] Image: http://twitter.com/home?status=The%20Iranian%20Ganglion%3A%20A%20Current%20Assessment%20-%20http%3A%2F%2Fhomelandsecurityus.com%2Farchives%2F1948

[9] Image: http://www.google.com/bookmarks/mark?op=edit&bkmk=http%3A%2F%2Fhomelandsecurityus.com%2Farchives%2F1948&title=The%20Iranian%20Ganglion%3A%20A%20Current%20Assessment&annotation=%0D%0A%0D%0ABy%20Sean%20Osborne%2C%20Associate%20%20Director%2C%20Military%20Affairs%0D%0A%0D%0A2%20April%202007%3A%20%20Never%20has%20the%20threat%20of%20a%20wider%20regional%20war%20been%20greater%20than%20it%20is%20this%20morning%20in%20the%20Middle%20East%2C%20and%20the%20Islamic%20Republic%20of%20Iran%20is%20the%20ganglion%20of%20this%20threat.%20In%20fac

Copyright (c) 2009 Northeast Intelligence Network. All rights reserved.