Pentagon: Israel will soon attack Iran

1 July 2008: A senior Pentagon official says there is an “increasing likelihood” that Israel will launch an attack on Iran before the year’s end, PressTV reported.

Read the complete article at Iran News

An Analysis of Israel’s Explicit Threat to Strike Iran

By Sean Osborne, Associate Director, Military Affairs

25 June 2008: For the past few days global media has been abuzz with the purposefully leaked news that Israel conducted a massive “dress rehearsal” for a strategic preemptive strike against Iranian nuclear facilities. This “dress rehearsal” reportedly involved a combined strike package of more than 100 Israeli Air Force F-15I Ra’am (Thunder), F-16I Sufa (Storm) strike aircraft, supported by KC-707 refueling tankers and heliborne SAR (Search and Rescue) troops in the eastern Mediterranean Sea extended to a distance equal to that required to reach the postulated primary Iranian nuclear infrastructure target set located at Natanz, Arak, Esfahan, and, possibly, the soon-to-be online Russian-built and fueled reactor at Bushehr. [Read more...]

Terrorist Nuclear Weaponry: A Digitized Nightmare

By Sean Osborne, Associate Director, Military Affairs

17 June 2008: In March 2005 I wrote an article entitled “Smoking Gun: Iran Already Nuclear Armed” which dealt with the 2001 Iranian acquisition of six Russian-made KH-55 nuclear-capable cruise missiles from the inventory of the former Soviet Union. It was Colonel Hryhoriy Omelchenko of the Ukrainian State Secret Services (SBU) within the newly-elected Ukrainian President Viktor Yushchenko’s government that alerted the world. Details of the illegal transfer were confirmed by the middleman in the transfer, Dr. Sarfraz Haider, who was found murdered in Cyrpus in 2004. An autopsy of Dr. Haider revealed that his neck had been broken and his aorta split. Dr. Haider was quoted in a February 2005 article in the Australian Herald-Sun newspaper as having stated prior to his murder, “What’s the use of the missiles without them [warheads]?” The KH-55 cruise missiles were designed to carry a 200kT nuclear warhead to a target more than 1,860 miles away. [Read more...]

Mideast Military Chief Resigns

11 March 2008: Adm. William J. Fallon, the Navy admiral in charge of the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan, announced his resignation today amid reports that he was “at odds” with the current administration’s position on Iran. Fallon, the subject of an article published last week in Esquire magazine, was described in that article as “a lone voice” against taking military action to stop the Iranian nuclear program. Fallon was also a voice in favor of a more rapid troop pullout from Iraq.

Complete article.

Iran: “A ‘duty’ for Muslims to attack the West,” says editor

29 January 2008: Hossein Shariatmadari, managing editor of Kayhan (Universe) one of Iran’s most influential newspapers, has issued a strongly worded editorial inviting Muslims to topple moderate Islamic governments and attack US, European and Israeli interests.

In the editorial, entitled “The enemy’s shield”, Shariatmadari argues that in Shia or Sunni Islam “It is legal to strike those who protect the enemy.”

The real enemies, says Shariatmadari are “The barbaric Zionists, the ferocious Americans and their European allies.”

“Because of this, we must remove those Islamic regimes that stop Muslims attacking their enemies; that is not only legal, but a duty.”

In the editorial Shariatmadari also stresses the need to attack the ‘atheists’ and the ‘Zionists’, but also emphasizes the high price they will pay for protecting ‘Zionists.’

He says their interests all over the world must be hit.

“Only when the West sees their citizens fall, it may reflect on their support for Zionism.”

Shariatmadari is not considered a journalist with radical Islamist views, or an extremist in Iran’s Islamic hierarchy.

But its newspaper is considered the most conservative in Iran and one that reflects the views of the government.

The 2007 National Intelligence Estimate on Iranian Nuclear Weapons

Assessment B of the November 2007 NIE clearly states (capitalization added for emphasis): “WE CANNOT RULE OUT that IRAN HAS ACQUIRED FROM ABROAD - or will acquire in the future - A NUCLEAR WEAPON or enough fissile material for a weapon.”

By Sean Osborne, Associate Director, Military Affairs

5 December 2007 After careful analysis most recent unclassified version of the National Intelligence Estimate on Iranian Nuclear Weapons (NIE)submitted to the administration in November, titled “Iran: Nuclear Intentions and Capabilities,” I have made the following assessments:

I can only estimate that this NEI had within its estimation process certain political motivations which garnered more weight than real-world collected intelligence.

This NIE’s “Key Judgements” are a gift to the 2008 Democrat presidential candidates in that they repudiate the continuing intelligence estimates on Iranian nuclear weapons ambitions during the Bush Administration.

This NIE had significant problems well before it went to the government printing office and it will now be assailed mercilessly as a result of those problems.

Let’s look at what places meat on the bare bones assessments I made yesterday.

Political Motivations

The Wall Street Journal printed a editorial which corroborates my first assessment above. Specifically the editorial stated:

-the NIE’s main authors include three former State Department officials with previous reputations as “hyper-partisan anti-Bush officials,” according to an intelligence source. They are Tom Fingar, formerly of the State Department’s Bureau of Intelligence and Research; Vann Van Diepen, the National Intelligence Officer for WMD; and Kenneth Brill, the former U.S. Ambassador to the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA).”

Political motivations - check.

Repudiating Previous NIEs on Iranian nuclear weapons

The WeeklyStandard also references the above WSJ OpEd and also makes a very strong point in quoting Thomas Fingar’s statement of July 11, 2007:

Iran and North Korea are the states of most concern to us. The United States’ concerns about Iran are shared by many nations, including many of Iran’s neighbors. Iran is continuing to pursue uranium enrichment and has shown more interest in protracting negotiations and working to delay and diminish the impact of UNSC sanctions than in reaching an acceptable diplomatic solution. We assess that Tehran is determined to develop nuclear weapons–despite its international obligations and international pressure. This is a grave concern to the other countries in the region whose security would be threatened should Iran acquire nuclear weapons.

Besides the obvious mother of all acrobatic flip-flops by Thomas Fingar, there is one other item I assess to be crucial with respect to any potential temporary Iranian cessation of its nuclear weapons program in 2003.

North Korea.

Iran was a participant and funding partner in North Korean nuclear weapons and delivery systems development. Whatever nuclear weapons projects went on hiatus in Iran during 2003, there were other certainly active weapons research projects occurring in North Korea during this same time period. Additionally there were several reports that Iranian delegations were in the DPRK during the limited-yield nuclear test conducted on October 9, 2006. Nothing like seeing first-hand what yield your investments have earned.

The inherent problems of this NIE are being duly assailed. And it almost goes without mention in the spinning out-of-control MSM that this fatally-flawed NIE states categorically that Iran did and probably still does have a clandestine nuclear weapons program.

Again, this unclassified version of the NIE is one thing. The key judgments which are within the classified version might tell a different story entirely.

Discuss this on the NEIN BLOG

28 years ago: Islamic thugs, 52 Americans, no end in sight… Today: no end in sight

Avenue of 444 Flags, Hillcrest Memorial Park, 2619 East State Street, Hermitage, PA 16148
© 2007 Northeast Intelligence Network

4 November 2007: Bahrain’s crown prince, in interviews to British newspapers published yesterday, said Iran is developing atomic weapons or the capability to do so. This is the first time an Arab state in the Persian Gulf has openly accused Tehran of lying about its contentious nuclear plan, the Times of London said.

“While they don’t have the bomb yet, they are developing it, or the capability for it,” Sheik Salman bin Hamad al-Khalifa told Times correspondents in the Bahrain capital Manama.

Look at the man - Ahmadinejad. Look at the stated objectives of the man and the Islamic country. A quarter-century ago, it was 52 American hostages held by Muslim believers for 444 days. Today, it is the Islamic regime holding Israel, America and non-Muslim states hostage. Their tactics are slightly different, but Ahmadinejad has not changed. His goals, and those in his regime of the annihilation of Israel, the extermination of the Jews, and overall world domination have not changed. Neither has the blindness or wishful thinking by some in our administration that they will.

Written in 2005 - nothing has changed: Iran + Islamic Theocracy = Terrorism; What Else is there to Investigate?

By Douglas J. Hagmann, Director

[b]1 July 2005:[/b] The White House said today that it has unearthed no evidence so far that Iranian President-elect Mahmoud Ahmadinejad was involved in the 1979 siege of the U.S. Embassy in Tehran. Perhaps they should consult Ahmadinejad’s own web site, which is in Farsi. Granted, both Islamic terrorists and slick politicians lie, but why would he boast about his role in the 1979 take-over if it was untrue? Islamic terrorists enjoy that “in your face” tactic, so it is very reasonable to believe the claims of several former hostages that Ahmadinejad played a role in the hostage “crisis.” If I spent well over a year as a hostage of Islamic terrorists, you can damn well bet that I would remember each and every one of my captors for as long as it would take me to exact revenge. You can also bet that I would spend the remainder of my life hunting each of them down, especially if my government has not.

It’s time for the “P.C. Crowd” in the U.S. to realize that the government of Iran is a primary sponsor of Islamic terrorism, and you cannot reasonably negotiate with terrorists. It is difficult, however, to identify terrorists for what they are when you have the American media calling the current Iranian vice president and head of the Environment Department, Massoumeh Ebtekar “Sister Mary.” She, of course, was the chief interpreter and spokeswoman for the Islamic terrorist thug students who took over the U.S. Embassy and held 52 Americans - and America hostage for 444 days. You might recall that the good “sister” was the terrorist mouthpiece who spewed venomous nightly interviews during the standoff, calling the hostages “spies” and accusing the United States of committing crimes.

sistermaryShe’s no “sister” - she is an Islamic terrorist. So is Ahmadinejad. What is there to investigate?

Mahmud Ahmadi-Nejad’s Council of War

By Sean Osborne, Associate Director, Military Affairs

21 July 2007 OSINT and HUMINT source reports have combined within the past 48 hours to constitute one of the most striking dioramas ever seen in any region of the world just prior to the initiation of full-scale armed conflict. These reports are far more than the proverbial handwriting on the wall or mere belligerent rhetoric; they are virtual and tangible realities seen in most instances by disbelieving human eyes, so real they stun the senses with an aura of surrealism.

These intelligence items were then capped by a two-day council of war lorded over by Iranian President Mahmud Ahmadi-Nejad. The first day’s session was held Damascus, Syria on Thursday, with the second session moved to Tehran on Friday. The details of this Iranian-led council of war are found in this report from DEBKAfile. The HUMINT items of particular interest follow below. Click the article title or “read more” above to continue with this important special report.

On July 5, 2007, the Iranian news agency IRNA reported that Syrian authorities had instructed all Syrian citizens residing in Lebanon to return to their country by July 15, 2007. The next day, the Israeli Arab daily Al-Sinara similarly reported, on the authority of a Lebanese source close to Damascus, that Syria was planning to remove its citizens from Lebanon. Also on July 5, the Lebanese daily Al-Liwa reported rumors that Syrian workers were leaving Lebanon at the request of the Syrian authorities. In addition, the Syrian government daily Al-Thawra reported that Syrian universities would accept Syrian students who were leaving Lebanon due to the instability there.

A married couple living in northern Israel sent the following report:

Today we had business to do in Jerusalem, so we left our home at 7 am and traveled down the east side of the Galilee, through Bet Shean and past the check point at Sede Trimot in the Jordan Valley.
Once we entered the Jordan Valley as we passed through the Arab agricultural areas we noticed the following which is most unusual;

There were no people visible working the in the fields. There were no children along the side of the road. There were no tractors or other farm vehicles anywhere to be seen. All of the vegetables had been completely harvested and the fields were 100% empty. No preparation of the fields was evident for the next planting; Plastic was everywhere from the prior crop. The greenhouses had no plants in them. The vegetable stands that are normally filled to the brim from the harvest were completely vacant. This is the peak season for growing vegetables in the Jordan Valley, yet everything had been harvested and nothing was growing waiting to be harvested or picked. We concluded our business in Jerusalem and got back on the road again about 2:45 pm heading north up the Jordan Valley. Again, no people, no fruit stands, no crops, nothing!

A HUMINT source in the U.S. reported the following - The USG has urgently mobilized transportation brokers to acquire as many empty transport trucks and railroad cars or flatbed conex shipping containers as they can muster from all points in North America. They are to stage the empty containers at two or more large US ammunition production facilities in the mid and upper Midwest ASAP. (Read: U.S. is urgently preparing a massive re-supply of ammo, explosives and weapons for Israel.)

The following is a paraphrasing of the ITRR TAM-C Alert # 1673-5 dated July 18, 2007. UNIFIL troops in Lebanon are on high level alert through 24 JUL 07. UNIFIL expects imminent attack to include: roadside VBIEDs, kidnappings of troops and suicide bombings against UNIFIL positions in Southern Lebanon. Hezbollah attacks into Israel proper being initiated in the specific vicinity of Shebaa Farms in northern Israel is anticipated. Initial Hezbollah direct and indirect fires expected to consist of anti-tank rockets, anti-aircraft ordnance and mortars.

Now you have the most recent pieces of the “big picture” puzzle regarding this coming war; a war I have been predicting to occur as a second phase of the July-August 2006 Israel-Hezbollah war. That war was also presaged by directives from Tehran, provided for by Syrian and Iranian war stocks purchased from Russia, Red China and North Korea. Unlike last summer, this coming war is one in which the ultimate objective is nothing less than the total destruction of the State of Israel.

There is also something very important in the above referenced DEBKAfile report. That something is Imad Fayez Mughniyeh. A report from just 8 days into the aftermath of September 11, 2001 posted at Janes.com is equally revealing about what is in store for Israel, and very likely the United States between today and sometime in September 2007.

The report states that the Israeli intelligence service known as Aman suspected that Saddam Hussein’s Iraq is the state that sponsored the suicide attacks on the New York Trade Center and the Pentagon in Washington. Directing the mission, Aman officers believe, were two of the world’s foremost terrorist masterminds: the Lebanese Imad Mughniyeh, head of the special overseas operations for Hizbullah, and the Egyptian Dr Ayman Al Zawahiri, senior member of Al-Qaeda and possible successor of the ailing Osama Bin Laden.

So, America was not justified in toppling Saddam Hussein’s regime, WMD or no WMD, isn’t that what the liberal left has been so shrill about from the onset of Operation Iraqi Freedom? Before I loose my temper let me get back to the Janes.com report which goes on to quote one of the Aman sources as saying,

“We’ve only got scraps of information, not the full picture,” admits one intelligence source, “but it was good enough for us to send a warning six weeks ago to our allies that an unprecedented massive terror attack was expected. One of our indications suggested that Imad Mughniyeh met with some of his dormant agents on secret trips to Germany. We believe that the operational brains behind the New-York attack were Mughniyeh and Zawahiri, who were probably financed and got some logistical support from the Iraqi Intelligence Service (SSO).”

It would appear that we have indeed, as many observers and officials have recently noted, come full circle to the weeks prior to September 11, 2001. Moreover what is now almost transparently about to occur stands a significant possibility of eclipsing the events of that day of infamy both in terms of innocent casualties and physical destruction, albeit on a much broader scale than anyone currently cares imagine. Unless some pre-emptive action is taken immediately by America and our allies we dare not imagine the consequences of what comes next.

If you thought the paradigm changed for both America and the world after 9/11, well, “you ain’t seen nothing yet,” irrespective of the fact that mainstream media has yet to report on any of the above. One very big reason why we’re here and have as many site viewers are we do. My advice has always been to be prepared for just about anything. Now would be a good time to start.

JFK bomb plot links to murder, Iran & top al Qaeda terrorist-at-large

Douglas J. Hagmann, Director

INVESTIGATION:

JFK bombing plot “more sophisticated” than presented - could have links to IRAN…

Plot suspect has loose ties to 2004 execution-style murders in Guyana…

Plot could be tied to top al Qaeda terrorist-at-large Adnan G. El Shukrijumah.

14 June 2007: At the time the JFK Airport bomb plot was announced, the Northeast Intelligence Network went on record stating that the plot was far more extensive than was being reported and more suspects were involved than initially identified. Now, investigation of those involved in the plot reveals ties to at least two murder victims, a money exchange business in Georgetown, Guyana with ties to Iran, and top al Qaeda terrorist-at-large Adnan G. El Shukrijumah. Other ties to officials of the government of Iran are also emerging.

El Shukrijumah was born in Guyana on August 4, 1975, and is the eldest of Gulshair el-Shukrijumah, a 44-year-old radical Muslim cleric, and his 16-year-old wife. He is identified as the top terrorist commissioned to unleash a nuclear attack on the United States, has long been the focus of investigative journalist Paul Williams, author of three books including his most recent work, The Day of Islam, and Judi McLeod, founder and editor of Canada Free Press, as well as the Northeast Intelligence Network. Based on recent investigation by the Northeast Intelligence Network, it appears that Adnan G. El Shukrijumah might have played a peripheral role in the JFK bombing plot, or at the very least, was closely associated with suspects – and murder victims – associated with the plot.

Abduction and murder, execution style with ties to the JFK bomb plot

It was just after 10:00 p.m. on the night of April 2, 2004 when Iranian national Mohamed Hassan IBRAHIMI, a Shiite Muslim cleric from Iran living in Guyana was kidnapped at gunpoint by two masked men as he was leaving the Georgetown, Guyana Islamic studies school he established.

IBRAHIMI was the passenger in a vehicle driven by Raymond ALI, a/k/a HALLEY, the administrator of the Islamic school established by IBRAHIMI. According to police reports, IBRAHIMI was called to the school on the evening of April 2, 2004 to inspect a “water leak.” As HALLEY and IBRAHIMI were leaving the school in their vehicle, two masked gunman stopped the vehicle and grabbed IBRAHIMI, allegedly shooting HALLEY in the foot during the abduction.

Several weeks later, the body of Mohamed Hassan IBRAHIMI was found in a shallow grave. IBRAHIMI was bound, gagged and shot twice in the head in an execution style murder. To date, no arrests have been made. At the time of IBRAHIMI’S abduction, there was an unprecedented level of interest and direct involvement by top Iranian law enforcement officials reported by Guyanese police.

Renewed interest in the case, along with numerous additional questions have now surfaced in the wake of the JFK Airport bombing plot, as IBRAHIMI was a close friend of Abdul KADIR, a former opposition member of the Guyanese Parliament and suspect in the JFK bombing plot. Continued investigation reveals that IBRAHIMI was also acquainted with another JFK airport bomb plot suspect - Abdel NUR, also from Guyana.

IBRAHIMI, who was 35 at the time of his death, was a Shiite Muslim cleric who established and operated the International Islamic Center of Advanced Studies, a private institution that received its funding from Iran. Not only was IBRAHIMI was a friend of bomb plot suspect Abdul KADIR, but two of KADIR’S children, Salim Ibn Abdul Kadir, and a daughter, both educated in Iran, taught at the school. In fact, KADIR’S son, AN Iranian cleric, became the school’s interim director until the school closed several months after the murder of IBRAHIMI.

IBRAHIMI obtained permanent residence status in Guyana sometime in the year 2000 through the assistance of Zenjibari ALI, a man from Tanzania who is believed to also have close ties to Iran. IBRAHIMI was married to an Iranian woman identified as Shabnaz IBRAHIMI, who was eight months’ pregnant with their first child at the time of her husband’s murder. Shabnaz IBRAHIMI returned to Iran after the death of her husband.

In murder, there are no coincidences

There are more twists in the execution-style of abduction and murder of Mohamed Hassan IBRAHIMI, far beyond anything coincidental. As the director of the International Islamic Center of Advanced Studies, IBRAHIMI received funds from Iran through a business called the Swiss House Cambio, a Georgetown currency exchange business where JFK bomb plot suspect Abdel NUR worked on a part-time basis. It was at this money exchange business were top al Qaeda terrorist Adnan el Shukrijumah frequented, and was reportedly seen there in 2003. But the twists and turns do not end there.

The owner of business, Swiss House Cambio, Farouk RAZAC, was found shot to death at his home on May 7, 2007 - less than a month before the JFK bombing plot was revealed. Although RAZAC’S wife, Carolan LYNCH - a former beauty queen - has been charged in his murder, there remain questions about her involvement.

Most notably, the U.S. embassy in Georgetown was reportedly notified that Adnan Gulgair El-Shukrijumah was a frequent visitor to Razac’s Swiss House Cambio. The now deceased RAZAC’S father knew El-Shukrijumah’s father when he was living in Guyana prior to him leaving for Saudi Arabia.

Questions about the potential involvement of top al Qaeda terrorist El-Shukrijumah with RAZAC remain front-and-center. According to our continuing research and investigation, those identified and arrested in the JFK bombing plot are only the tip of the iceberg. And that iceberg should send chills down the spine of every American, especially considering the timing and circumstances of the murder of RAZAC and his association with IBRAHIMI, El-Shukrijumah and the JFK bombing plot suspects.

Wars and Rumors of Wars

By Sean Osborne, Associate Director, Military Affairs

April 9, 2007 This is a continuation of “The Iranian Ganglion: A Current Assessment,” albeit it is from a perspective of analysis and reflection upon the continuing statements of the former Chief of Staff of the Russian armed forces, Col. Gen. Leonid Grigor’yevich Ivashov referenced earlier. Most readers of the Judeo-Christian faith will recognize the title of this installment as deriving from the prophetic words delivered by Christ during His Sermon on the Mount of Olives. The applicability of these words for our time is striking, if not foreboding, especially when taken in the context of Ezekiel, chapters 38 and 39. Russia and Iran in such close proximity and military alliance is an unmistakable benchmark in an era of world history which has seen the Jews re-gathered into the land of Israel and in control of Jerusalem - as was also foretold in detail.

The comments of this senior Russian career military officer in this context are most disturbing, and a much closer look is warranted. Reportedly, General Ivashov was the Chief-of-Staff of the Russian armed forces when 9/11 occurred. General Ivashov’s biography is that of a consummate, professional, career Russian military officer. Yet, from his mouth propagates the core basis of the ludicrous nonsense coming from the political left and the loony conspiracy theorists, which stands in stark contrast to the military and strategic principles of the Russian Military Doctrine published in April 2000. The propagated nonsense asserts that the events of September 11, 2001 were actions initiated by the United States government, that Islamist terrorism is a non-existent figment of our imagination and every other social, political and economic force in the world is part of a grand scheme, a grand conspiracy of America and her allies to conquer and enslave the world.

At this point some folks might be rolling off their easy chair in laughter. Folks like Cindy Sheehan, Nancy Pelosi and other friend of Hugo, Mahmud and Bashar. If this is you as well, then when you regain control of yourself – consider the following. This Russian general, his senior leadership and their allies really believe these things are truth. This Russian mindset and worldview meshes quite seamlessly with that of the Shia’ apocalyptic views of the Iranian regime. This senior Russian military officer is saying publicly that which manifests how they truly view America, Israel and the West in general.

Once again Russia is aligning itself not with the West but with the East, and now with the South, with Islamofascism. The tangible proof of the real Russian agenda is manifest in the ongoing nuclear proliferation and massive arms sales to the Islamic Republic of Iran and their socialist Alawite Shia’  allies in Syria. Russia has joined the Axis of Evil by any measure applied. Russia has aligned itself with those who seek to destroy our way of life. We had better take notice because while Iran is pursuing nuclear weapons, Russia already has them in the thousands. Those Russian weapons are now the effective global strategic depth of Iran and Syria. Nancy Pelosi, did you hear what I just said?

General Ivashov has expounded upon his comments which I reported on in the article linked above. He was quoted by the Russian Interfax news agency yesterday saying that not only are US plans to attack Iran still on track for this month, but that our strike will include a nuclear first strike upon Iran. Citing “our data” - which can only mean Russian government intelligence assessments General Ivashov said:

Combat nuclear weapons may be used for bombing. This will result in radioactive contamination of the Iranian territory, which could possibly spread to neighboring countries.

Do you hear that? This Russian government mouthpiece has said that America intends to launch Armageddon. General Ivashov continued, “If Iran strikes back at Israel with missiles, Tel-Aviv is likely to use nuclear weapons on Iran.

Source: http://www.interfax.ru/e/B/0/28.html?id_issue=11708925

If this is not a Russian government sanctioning of an Iranian or even a Russian-Iranian-Syrian preemptive strike upon America, Israel and our Western allies, then I do not know what is. I do know that the existential danger we face today is as great as anytime since the Cuban Missile crisis, perhaps all the more so.